Draft Atlanta Hawks Pick-Swap Watch Thread

Will the 2026 Hawks Swap Convey?

  • Yes

  • No


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Yaxel's been one of my guy's since November and he'd make a lot of sense given he'd fill a positional need for us, but I just don't see MATFO drafting a guy who will be 24 when next season starts tbh. Will be happy to eat crow if I'm wrong, but I don't see it.
I think at this point in our roster building the age thing doesn't matter all that much. I think him being such a well rounded player out of the gate is actually an advantage because we don't have to wait super long for him to become a productive NBA player while he's on his cheap rookie contract.
 
I think at this point in our roster building the age thing doesn't matter all that much. I think him being such a well rounded player out of the gate is actually an advantage because we don't have to wait super long for him to become a productive NBA player while he's on his cheap rookie contract.
There's an argument to made that having a 24-27 year old on a Rookie contract who's a contributor on a Championship contender could make sense for certain teams, I just don't think Spurs are one of them tbh. Our rotation is sort of already set 1-9 so an immediate contributor isn't really needed right now. Yaxel would eat into CB and Champ's minutes at the 4. I think they'll target a young player with more long-term upside who will be ready to step in and contribute in a couple years once we inevitably lose someone to Free Agency. That's just my hunch.
 
Sixers @ Pistons
Wizards @ Magic
Nets
@ Hawks
Bucks @ Heat (given up on Bucks tbh)
 
There's an argument to made that having a 24-27 year old on a Rookie contract who's a contributor on a Championship contender could make sense for certain teams, I just don't think Spurs are one of them tbh. Our rotation is sort of already set 1-9 so an immediate contributor isn't really needed right now. Yaxel would eat into CB and Champ's minutes at the 4. I think they'll target a young player with more long-term upside who will be ready to step in and contribute in a couple years once we inevitably lose someone to Free Agency. That's just my hunch.
Sure, but this is the NBA. you need bodies to get through the season. I think Yaxel can definitely exist in any lineup with any of the guards + bigs with his versatility. I think the upside argument actually makes less sense when you consider that type of player would need a lot more minutes to grow to reach their ceiling (I also think Yaxels upside is way higher than you do, clearly). Barnes is definitely on his way out and Yaxel would be a day one upgrade defensively (Which is what the identity of this team is) and has great offensive upside with his feel of the game.
 
Sure, but this is the NBA. you need bodies to get through the season. I think Yaxel can definitely exist in any lineup with any of the guards + bigs with his versatility. I think the upside argument actually makes less sense when you consider that type of player would need a lot more minutes to grow to reach their ceiling (I also think Yaxels upside is way higher than you do, clearly). Barnes is definitely on his way out and Yaxel would be a day one upgrade defensively (Which is what the identity of this team is) and has great offensive upside with his feel of the game.
Again, I'm not arguing against Yaxel the player. I like him as a prospect. I was the first person to post about him in the Draft Prospects Thread way back in November, and I've posted about him several times since, including earlier this week. I've said he'd be a perfect fit for us as a 6'8 3&D archetype with elite length who could guard bigger wings and forwards for us, and I agree he could exist is any lineup we throw out there for this season. I've even talked about him not playing basketball until he was 16 years old which is why he's a late developer, and he'd be good insurance in case CB has a Sophomore slump next season and/or doesn't continue to develop like we think he will. But this isn't about what I want, it's about what I think MATFO will do. Carter Bryant and Champ are already occupying that PF spot and he would be eating into both of their minutes. I don't think they want that. And while being older could mean he's better to immediately contribute, he'll still be 24 years old at the start of next season which is ancient for a Rookie and thus, he's much closer to a finished product than a guy whose 19 is going to be. Being 5 years older is massive difference in terms of player development. That's why I think MATFO will go with a younger prospect with more long-term upside. I could be wrong, only time will tell. But that's my hunch right now. If Yaxel were the pick, I'd be just fine with it personally and I think he could really help us, especially on the defensive end, and especially if he's able to bring that 3PT% up to at least league average.
 
Again, I'm not arguing against Yaxel the player. I like him as a prospect. Carter Bryant and Champ are already occupying that PF spot and he would be eating into both of their minutes. I don't think they want that. And while being older could mean he's better to immediately contribute, he'll still be 24 years old at the start of next season which is ancient for a Rookie and thus, he's much closer to a finished product than a guy whose 19 is going to be. Being 5 years older is massive difference in terms of player development. That's why I think MATFO will go with a younger prospect with more long-term upside. I could be wrong, only time will tell. But that's my hunch right now. If Yaxel were the pick, I'd be just fine with it personally and I think he could really help us, especially on the defensive end, and especially if he's able to bring that 3PT% up to at least league average.
How much of your argument “against” drafting Lendeborg since he’d be eating into Champs or Bryant’s minutes is based on the re-signing of Barnes? I honestly believe they are re-signing Barnes even though I really hope they don’t. Well…what if they don’t? Champ is at about 28 minutes. He’d only need a few more minutes added if any. Bryant is at 10. How much more would he need? 10 more? 15? That’s a big jump but I’d be fine with that. KJ is at 23 I think he’s on target.

If Barnes is gone, that’s 27 minutes opened up. Lendeborg, Haugh, Cenac, Jr or Jefferson could be next season’s Bryant at about 10 minutes with additional minutes to spare. So there won’t be any eating minutes IF Barnes is gone. Who out of those I mentioned would be your choice?
 
Sure, but this is the NBA. you need bodies to get through the season. I think Yaxel can definitely exist in any lineup with any of the guards + bigs with his versatility. I think the upside argument actually makes less sense when you consider that type of player would need a lot more minutes to grow to reach their ceiling (I also think Yaxels upside is way higher than you do, clearly). Barnes is definitely on his way out and Yaxel would be a day one upgrade defensively (Which is what the identity of this team is) and has great offensive upside with his feel of the game.
Also, Barnes, Champ and CB are more tweeners than natural bigs, none can really bang. Shit even Wemby is more a KD style tweener, height but not mass. Having a few people that can actually bang downlow is not a bad thing. Right now that's really just Korn and KJ.

Having a Yaxel type makes moving Champ, CB, DV, Keldon much easier if the right deal comes along. The idea our 9-man rotation is simply set for yrs to come isn't super realistic. 75% of the board wanted to pay to get rid of DV and KJ preseason, Champ was just a cheap bench piece, Barnes was a dead-eye shooter, CB was just a project (still is actually- 6 good wks is a good & promising start but that's all it is). Things can change quick from yr-to-yr.

Champ & Keldon have 1 yr left. People will bitch about DV's contract when he has one down week. What happens if Keldon regress next yr? Barnes looks finished as an important piece. We still have a PG/creator logjam that's likely to be more an issue as Fox ages out of prime and Steph/Harp age in.
We are pretty clearly at the win-now stage today, seems short sited to pass on ready-today players simply because your rotation looks set today. Time to draft higher floor, less risk but less ceiling guys.
 
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More like an ocean of salt.
8 game win streak
4 games against Brooklyn and Washington
1 Philadelphia without Embid and Edgecombe
1 Dallas who had lost 7 in row
Quality win was.... maybe Portland (without Avdija), maybe Doc's team....
 
Atlanta has the 13th hardest remaining schedule at an average of .517. Some of the harder teams may also pack it in if their seeds are determined. The hardest they face:

Detroit
Boston x2
NYK
Houston
Cleveland x2
Orlando x2

The teams they are jockeying with are... Miami and Toronto are above them by two losses, Philadelphia tied in losses, and Charlotte with two extra losses.

On the WC side, Hawks have one fewer loss than the Clippers and two fewer than the Warriors (despite both those teams imo being better) and four losses better than Portland.

I don't think Portland will catch them.

Miami has a harder schedule with only three gimmes (Pacers, Washington x2).
Toronto has about even games between good teams and stinkers.
Philadelphia has six hard and six easy games (tankers) but they're banged up.
Charlotte has the sixth hardest final games at .530 against SAS, Detroit, Boston x2, Knicks x2, Minnesota, Phoenix, and only four against tanking teams.

So... dunno. I feel like it's very likely they stick around where they are, which is currently 8th in their conference. I kind of don't think they catch Miami or Toronto as their schedule shifts. I do think the Clippers will pass them (be better in the loss column) and am unsure about the Warriors.

It then depends on whether Atlanta makes the playoffs via the play-in. If so, they'd be around 15 or 16. If they do, right now all they'd have to do is beat Toronto (in Toronto) unless Philly or Charlotte can move ahead.
 
8 game win streak
4 games against Brooklyn and Washington
1 Philadelphia without Embid and Edgecombe
1 Dallas who had lost 7 in row
Quality win was.... maybe Portland (without Avdija), maybe Doc's team....
Super super light stretch for sure and now have the 13th hardest remaining SOS including Orl 2x, Hou, GSW, Det, Box 2x, NYK, Cle 2x, Mia, that's 11 of their remaining 16.

But it may be too late. We almost need them to lose every one of those damn games, because they're now 4 above 500. Going 6-10 puts them 41-41, that's prolly above GSW & POR, crapshoot with 76ers & Hornets & maybe Clips.
We could really use Mil getting in a revenge game tomorrow.
*haha same thought bozhemoi
 
Super super light stretch for sure and now have the 13th hardest remaining SOS including Orl 2x, Hou, GSW, Det, Box 2x, NYK, Cle 2x, Mia, that's 11 of their remaining 16.

But it may be too late. We almost need them to lose every one of those damn games, because they're now 4 above 500. Going 6-10 puts them 41-41, that's prolly above GSW & POR, crapshoot with 76ers & Hornets & maybe Clips.
We could really use Mil getting in a revenge game tomorrow.
We need to be realistic, they're going to be in the play-in anyway ever since Milwaukee's season went to shit, we just need for Toronto to hold above them and one of Philadelphia or Charlotte to surpass them. That would put them at 9 / 10 in the East, and they'd need to win 2 games (probably vs Charlotte / Philadelphia and Toronto / Orlando / Miami) to make the playoffs, if they don't they'll pick 14 or maybe even 13, we need to come to terms with that.
 
giannis a gtd today against the hawks.Everything going atl way to get in the playoffs.
 
I look at it this way, we have the 2nd or 3rd best record in the NBA right now, if we get to swap it for for the 14th or 15th pick its a win for the franchise. Sure a lottery pick would be nicer, but this draft is going to be a good one even in the middle of the draft. Don't forget the 3 second rounders which we could trade for a decent veteran. Past decisions and a little bit of luck are paying off.

We have a pretty good young team now, I don't think the front office is worried about the draft as in previous years.
 
I look at it this way, we have the 2nd or 3rd best record in the NBA right now, if we get to swap it for for the 14th or 15th pick its a win for the franchise. Sure a lottery pick would be nicer, but this draft is going to be a good one even in the middle of the draft. Don't forget the 3 second rounders which we could trade for a decent veteran. Past decisions and a little bit of luck are paying off.

We have a pretty good young team now, I don't think the front office is worried about the draft as in previous years.

At this point it's getting greedy, lol. We got insane luck last year to jump up to #2, not to mention what happened two years before. Getting a pick in the teens is a luxury this year, even if it'd be nice to get a few spots higher.
 
All the dismissiveness towards the hawks and how some folks predicted a guaranteed lottery pick from them looks hella foolish right now.
 
All the dismissiveness towards the hawks and how some folks predicted a guaranteed lottery pick from them looks hella foolish right now.
As I said many times, having no incentive to tank is +10 in the W column by itself, especially in the East.
Anyone thinking Hawks would drop below 11th or so seed barring a major injury crisis was naive, tbh.

The best we can hope for is for them to lose in the play-in.
 
As I said many times, having no incentive to tank is +10 in the W column by itself, especially in the East.
Anyone thinking Hawks would drop below 11th or so seed barring a major injury crisis was naive, tbh.

The best we can hope for is for them to lose in the play-in.
bro.at this rate,They look like they can make top 6.
 
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