Draft Atlanta Hawks Pick-Swap Watch Thread

[onechance87]

Cam Carr has been mocked in the 20's quite a bit...

Yea or mara,swain,or lopez.Decent role players in that range i guess.

 

[spursistan]

On top of a piss easy schedule, The Hawks have been extremely lucky with amount of injuries to other play-in contenders which is going to hurt our pick : Warriors (Curry being out since Jan 31st), Blazers (Avdjia nagging back issue is shell of early season self)), Philly (Embiid & Maxey +PG suspension), Clippers (now Kawhi), Bucks (Giannis)

Everything has broken Atlanta's way since ASB: cakewalk schedule, pristine health opposite other teams' injury woes allowing them to gain momentum..

 

[onechance87]

Magc have been playing well recently.And atl destroying them rn.Not good for us.

 

[BatManu20]

Yea hawks are playing good basketball right now tbh. It’s not just a soft portion of their schedule, they’re actually playing well. Not saying they’re gonna win out or anything but this isn’t just some fluke 10-game winning streak imo. That trade did wonders for them and dumping Trae (unsurprisingly) improved their defense considerably. But offensively they’re rolling right now.

 

[scott]

How bad is Trae Young defensively, when even having him in street clothes on your team drags your defense down?

 

[BatManu20]

Hawks with their 10th straight.

NAW: 41 pts on 9/14 from 3

J. Johnson: 24 pts on 10/19

Risacher: 2 pts on 1/2 FG (lol)

 

[Thoodee]

Sorry guys, i bet 30 on the magic on kashi. Ill bet on atl to go 11-0 on the next one. Ill even put a bill on it.

 

[Ice009]

NAW is a guy I wanted the Spurs to try and pry away from Minnesota. He's having a fantastic season.

 

[Ariel]

NAW is a guy I wanted the Spurs to try and pry away from Minnesota. He's having a fantastic season.

Yeah, me too. Obvious target in free agency, problem is Spurs targeted Kornet with most of their MLE and would have had to arrange for a S&T but they couldn't absorb him into a trade exception like Atlanta did, which might have been a deal breaker for Minnesota.

 

[ambchang]

Wanted NAW for free agency, but as a replacement for Vassell, while having Sochan and Keldon man the PF spot. Obviously, Sochan didn't work out, and Vassell stepped up and filled the role admirably, so I am not mad.

The one I wanted to keep was Micah Potter though, was very happy when we signed him to our training camp, not sure why he was cut.

 

[Mugen]

 

[onechance87]

Wanted NAW for free agency, but as a replacement for Vassell, while having Sochan and Keldon man the PF spot. Obviously, Sochan didn't work out, and Vassell stepped up and filled the role admirably, so I am not mad.

The one I wanted to keep was Micah Potter though, was very happy when we signed him to our training camp, not sure why he was cut.

yea potter looked good in preseason...Just missed open shots he needed to make in those games,But he did not.
Knew he would get cut after.

 

[Fabbs]

11 teams get ping pong balls for a shot at #1?

So while we are realistically out of that shot, mathematically ATL could lost all their games and we'd have a chance?
Yes i know it's a snowballs chance at this point and has melted down to one drop of water left.

 

[Ariel]

So far Atlanta is at 38 wins while current seed #4 in the East (Cleveland) and #6 in the West (Minnesota) have 42 wins, so the best they can realistically do is qualify 5th in the East which should land them pick #20 (worst case scenario for the Spurs).

Worst case scenario for them would be they make the play-in but miss the playoffs, that would put them at 13 (if Phoenix loses 2 games in the play-in) or 14 (most likely).

So basically we're looking at 13-20, with 14-17 being most likely IMO. There should be good players in that range either way.

 

[Ariel]

11 teams get ping pong balls for a shot at #1?

So while we are realistically out of that shot, mathematically ATL could lost all their games and we'd have a chance?
Yes i know it's a snowballs chance at this point and has melted down to one drop of water left.

Yeah, if they miss the playoffs there's a chance, assuming they're 14 (best team that misses the playoffs) they have a 0.5% chance at #1, 1.1% at top 2 (either #1 or #2), 1.7% at top 3 (#1, #2 or #3), and 2.4% at top 4 (#1, #2, #3 or #4).

 

[dn0774]

yea potter looked good in preseason...Just missed open shots he needed to make in those games,But he did not.
Knew he would get cut after.

Potter was missing 3 pointers and got cut. Now we have Bismack airballing 3 footers instead.

 

[Ed Helicopter Jones]

So far Atlanta is at 38 wins while current seed #4 in the East (Cleveland) and #6 in the West (Minnesota) have 42 wins, so the best they can realistically do is qualify 5th in the East which should land them pick #20 (worst case scenario for the Spurs).

Best case (realistic) scenario would be they make the play-in but miss the playoffs, that would put them at 13 (if Phoenix loses 2 games in the play-in) or 14 (most likely).

So basically we're looking at 13-20, with 14-17 being most likely IMO. There should be good players in that range either way.

This draft has a lot of players who can contribute without a huge drop-off in skill all the way through the 20th pick. The Spurs have the opportunity to luck into someone in that mid first round range who could contribute without having that high lottery salary commitment. This is probably a pretty good year to have a pick in this range. The Spurs might be able to pick up a ringer.

 

[LeBowen]

For me the bigger issue is that right now OKC are projected to select two players just before we do.
And I'd say our needs are pretty similar.

 

[OK Computer]

For me the bigger issue is that right now OKC are projected to select two players just before we do.
And I'd say our needs are pretty similar.

I think they’ll try to get a dude with a long wingspan - probably Carr.

 

[spursistan]

Mavs are pathetic and Cooper Flagg is nowhere near generational. Those guys don't get outperformed or lose their ROTY campaign as #1 overall pick, which he will do

 

[scott]

Shout out to NOP for not rolling over and handing ATL Top-4 odds. They're now ahead of 8th lotto seed MEM in the win column and 6-4 in their last 10. 8th lotto seed might be the best they can do, they're 4 games back of 9/10 in the W column... but it's looking like ATL will likely be getting the better of the 8th and 9th best odds.

 

[onechance87]

scumbags hawks keeps winning with there pathetic schedule...Hope to see new orleans to keep winning from here out

 

[SpursBills]

Shout out to NOP for not rolling over and handing ATL Top-4 odds. They're now ahead of 8th lotto seed MEM in the win column and 6-4 in their last 10. 8th lotto seed might be the best they can do, they're 4 games back of 9/10 in the W column... but it's looking like ATL will likely be getting the better of the 8th and 9th best odds.

I kind of like their third string center Karlo Matkovic - he's on a minimum right now and has a team option for next year, but he seems like he could be a decent cheap option for 3rd string center next year. Only 24, 6'11, nice shot blocker and rim protection, legitimate stretch center potential shooting 40% on 3 attempts/36 mins. Wonder if we can get him for a couple seconds to improve on the margins

 

[scott]

I kind of like their third string center Karlo Matkovic - he's on a minimum right now and has a team option for next year, but he seems like he could be a decent cheap option for 3rd string center next year. Only 24, 6'11, nice shot blocker and rim protection, legitimate stretch center potential shooting 40% on 3 attempts/36 mins. Wonder if we can get him for a couple seconds to improve on the margins

I'm with you - he was one of the guys I thought would be an interesting 3rd string target for us at the deadline, but I don't think that's something worth paying more than a single SRP for, and he's probably worth more than that to NOP

 

[spurs3223]

Shout out to NOP for not rolling over and handing ATL Top-4 odds. They're now ahead of 8th lotto seed MEM in the win column and 6-4 in their last 10. 8th lotto seed might be the best they can do, they're 4 games back of 9/10 in the W column... but it's looking like ATL will likely be getting the better of the 8th and 9th best odds.

I was pretty confident we'd see NOP finish strong. They are one of the few shitty teams with zero motivation to tank at the end of the year. But this Hawks team... I had them winning 46 games pre-season (WITH Trae Young and expecting Risacher to improve). The season has *not* gone the way I predicted, but weirdly with this recent surge they're gonna wind up winning about the same amount of games as I predicted, for completely different reasons.

This whole year has been bizarre. I look at that Suns roster and I just don't understand how they won so many games (they definitely need Brooks there tho.) Same with Celts. And the Hornets rise has been wild.

Respect to the Hawks, I guess. I suppose we can't be *too* greedy after picking 1,4,2 in successive years. And yeah maybe we'll find a good player with a middlin' pick. Stranger things have happened.