Draft Atlanta Hawks Pick-Swap Watch Thread

[Mugen]

what a fucking chokejob by the Cavs

 

[spurraider21]

what a fucking chokejob by the Cavs

i hate gambling with my entire soul but i want to start putting money on the hawks to win the championship tbh

 

[Mugen]

NAW might be one of the best FA signings of the decade tbh

 

[spurraider21]

NAW might be one of the best FA signings of the decade tbh

he's their Reaves

 

[Mugen]

Playoff Harden has arrived early this year tbh.

 

[Uriel]

Would rather the Cavs win tonight than the Spurs tbh

 

[scott]

lol @ Kuminga

 

[Mugen]

Cavs are paper soft. Hawks beat them if this is the 4/5 matchup tbh.

I'd imagine they're gonna be all in on Giannis this summer with Mobley heading to Milwaukee tbh.

 

[spurraider21]

Cavs are paper soft. Hawks beat them if this is the 4/5 matchup tbh.

I'd imagine they're gonna be all in on Giannis this summer with Mobley heading to Milwaukee tbh.

they play each other again next game, this time in Atlanta

 

[Mugen]

Risacher is better than Kuminga, idk what the hell Quin is snorting tbh. I mean I know, but still.

 

[Mugen]

they play each other again next game, this time in Atlanta

Cleveland probably sits everyone tbh.

 

[Biggems]

Yes, Cleveland won

 

[Ariel]

Teams that can mathematically catch Atlanta:

Pick	Team	Record	Schedule
20	Atlanta	45-35	Cleveland, Miami
19	Toronto	44-35	Miami, NY, Brooklyn
17-18	Phoenix	44-36	Lakers, OKC
17-18	Orlando	44-36	Chicago, Boston
16	Philadelphia	43-36	Houston, Indiana, Milwaukee
14	Charlotte	43-37	Detroit, NY

Toronto and Orlando should finish with 45-46 wins, Phoenix and Philly with 45, Charlotte may take advantage of seeding being set and get to 45 as well. So basically it comes down to Atlanta, if they can win out then they are at 47 and we'll pick #20, otherwise there's a good chance it'll come down to a coin flip for a pick in the late teens.

 

[spurraider21]

Tomorrows slate:

Heat @ Raptors
Sixers @ Rockets

With those outcomes, Toronto would move into a tie with ATL, and Philly would be just one game behind (along with Orlando and Phoenix)

 

[scott]

Would rather Rockets pursue the off chance they land the 3 seed than worry about moving up to Pick 18 from Pick 20

 

[spurraider21]

Would rather Rockets pursue the off chance they land the 3 seed than worry about moving up to Pick 18 from Pick 20

It’s quite improbable for them to move up to 3. They lose tiebreaks to everybody

But also this thread is just about the pick and optimal results in the interest of the pick

 

[scott]

It’s virtually impossible for them to move up to 3. They lose tiebreaks to everybody

IIRC, you said they have a 30% chance in the other thread if they win out. That’s not really virtually impossible. That’s quite virtually possible.

 

[spurraider21]

IIRC, you said they have a 30% chance in the other thread if they win out. That’s not really virtually impossible. That’s quite virtually possible.

I changed my language immediately lol

 

[scott]

I changed my language immediately lol

So with that said… I’ll take that 30% roll of the dice over even a 100% chance of pick 18 instead of pick 20.

 

[spurraider21]

So with that said… I’ll take that 30% roll of the dice over even a 100% chance of pick 18 instead of pick 20.

Well it’s not just a matter of getting to 18. If Philly or Orlando pass ATL, that could knock them into the play-in. If that happens the pick could move all the way to 14

We think big around here (speaking of virtually impossible)

 

[scott]

Well it’s not just a matter of getting to 18. If Philly or Orlando pass ATL, that could knock them into the play-in. If that happens the pick could move all the way to 14

We think big around here (speaking of virtually impossible)

“No thank you on the quite improbable but I’ll take some of that virtually impossible please”

 

[Uriel]

Teams that can mathematically catch Atlanta:

Pick	Team	Record	Schedule
20	Atlanta	45-35	Cleveland, Miami
19	Toronto	44-35	Miami, NY, Brooklyn
17-18	Phoenix	44-36	Lakers, OKC
17-18	Orlando	44-36	Chicago, Boston
16	Philadelphia	43-36	Houston, Indiana, Milwaukee
14	Charlotte	43-37	Detroit, NY

Toronto and Orlando should finish with 45-46 wins, Phoenix and Philly with 45, Charlotte may take advantage of seeding being set and get to 45 as well. So basically it comes down to Atlanta, if they can win out then they are at 47 and we'll pick #20, otherwise there's a good chance it'll come down to a coin flip for a pick in the late teens.

Thanks for this. So annoying that our pick can fall anywhere from 14-20, and that right now, it’s at 20.

 

[ird80]

Being so far into 2nd we should've tanked some of these games Being we're supposedly ahead of schedule

 

[spursfanfromafar]

I too hope that the Sixers lose to Rockets and there is a chance that Denver lose to both OKC and us in their last two games and Rockets win out and finish 3rd. I suspect OKC will tank their game to prevent this possibility but I am hoping against hope.

Meanwhile the Cavs will have every incentive to defeat the Hawks again to avoid facing then in the 4/5 game and also try to win enough to give a push for the 3rd position. So there is a chance that we get the 18th/19th pick rather than the 20th. The ideal scenario is Hawks losing to both Cavs and Heat and finishing 7th with Raptors and Magic squeezing through. And if the Hornets manage to finish 8th ..they could beat the Hawks in the play in to set up a Sixers/Heat- Hawks finale which could on the right day swing our chances to land in the top 14.

But there are overall too many ifs and buts. The most likely outcome is the Spurs end up picking no 20 and facing Denver in Round 2 of the playoffs.

This is not the ideal outcome but it is also a test for the Spurs to prove that they are real contenders as they are set up. Even if this will be a nervous situation...it's bound to be an exciting one.

 

[Ignazzz]

so pick can be #1-20