Draft Atlanta Hawks Pick-Swap Watch Thread

Will the 2026 Hawks Swap Convey?

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All this talk about the Spurs only losing 2 games since All-Star Weekend and the Hawks have only lost 3 :st-lol:

Screenshot-2026-04-03-at-12-22-50-PM.png
 
^ incredibly favorable schedule though, bunch of teams tanking / free-falling / injury riddled. Only Detroit (without Cade) and Boston are impressive. But it's also true the Atlanta of old would have lost a bunch of these anyway.
 
Ariel said:
^ incredibly favorable schedule though, bunch of teams tanking / free-falling / injury riddled. Only Detroit (without Cade) and Boston are impressive. But it's also true the Atlanta of old would have lost a bunch of these anyway.
Click to expand...
Yea def leaving out some important context but still wild tbh. They looked dead in the water at the beginning of January after losing 13 out of 16 games. It looked like we were going to have another top-10 pick this year. Then they traded Trae on Jan. 7th and have gone on a ridiculous run ever since.
 
BatManu20 said:
Yea definitely leaving out some important context but still wild tbh. They looked dead in the water at the beginning of January after losing 13 out of 16 games. Then they traded Trae on Jan. 7th and have gone on a ridiculous run ever since lol.
Click to expand...
Since the 2024 offseason they've managed to string a series of great moves
  • Traded Dejounte for Dyson Daniels + 2 picks
  • extended Jalen Johnson for 30 million a year
  • 2025 trade deadline:
    • Didn't get fooled by DeAndre Hunter's outlier season and cashed him into 2 swaps (this year they get Cleveland's pick rather than the Spurs') and 3 seconds
  • Turned #13 pick in 2025 into #23 + "best of" mid-lottery pick in a much stronger draft (might hit the jackpot here)
  • signed NAW for barely above MLE
  • 2026 trade deadline:
    • pulled the plug on the Trae era
    • turned chronically ill Porzingis into an athletic forward like Kuminga (at least he can play)
    • got a serviceable backup center in Landale for nothing
    • got a 2nd for Kennard
The only think you can criticize them for is using the 2025 #1 pick on Risacher, but there was no consensus pick and he's improved his season lately (10 points on 38% from 3). All in all, very commendable job by the Atlanta front office, made some tough decisions and turned it around.
 
Onsi Saleh, Austin native and a former Spurs employee, took over as the GM in Atlanta on April 21st, 2025.
Risacher pick wasn't his choice.
 
LeBowen said:
Onsi Saleh, Austin native and a former Spurs employee, took over as the GM in Atlanta on April 21st, 2025.
Risacher pick wasn't his choice.
Click to expand...
I just looked him up. Didn't realize he worked for the Spurs between 2017-2021, then from there he worked for the Warriors up until 2024. Not sure if the Spurs will ever get anymore trades with the Hawks while he's the GM.

I'm still a bit upset with how cheaply they got NAW. I really wanted NAW during the offseason. I thought he'd be even better player away from the Wolves with a bigger role (I thought he's a guy that can be both a great role player and also more than a role player if he was somewhere where he could get a bigger role), but darn, he's exceeded how good I thought he could be. He was one of the only guys I was willing to trade Devin for and let him take DV's spot on the team (I did want to give Devin another chance so I wasn't that keen or trading him, and was only interested in trading him if the Spurs got a clear upgrade). I thought NAW's playoff experience could really help a young team like the Spurs out. He's going to be big for Atlanta in the playoffs IMO.

Didn't one of the previous GMs of the Hawks have ties with Giannis? I thought I read before the trade deadline that he was given a promise to be drafted there. I wonder if Saleh is going to try and trade for Giannis still, or if he's going to want to not give up the assets and just keep building a younger team. I think the Hawks are probably looking very attractive to players now with this turnaround.

I can't remember, who else did the Hawks get in the trade for Trae apart from CJ?
 
Standings as of today:

rs.webp

It seems Phoenix won't catch Atlanta at this point, but I'm still hopeful for Toronto and Philadelphia as they are 2 wins behind with 1 game less, and Atlanta has a rough schedule ahead.
 
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Atlanta had a reasonably tough final 4 games. New York, Cleveland twice, Miami. Only hope of them dropping to the play-in is to go 1-3 or 0-4 in those which is unlikely.
 
Heat @ Raptors
Hornets @ Celtics
Rockets @ Suns (though arguably we want the rockets to win with the hopes they climb to the 3 seed instead of Denver)
 
Imagine a Spurs - Hawks Finals

I know it is super outlandish, but Atlanta is the hottest team in the East since the ASG.
 
Think the Hornets have a better shot of getting to the Finals tbh. They match-up poorly with Detroit but seem to be an issue for the Celtics and Knicks.
 
Hawks @ Cavs
Wolves @ Magic
Mavs @ Suns

will need hawks to lose at least 2 of their last 3 for some of these teams to be able to pass them

Hawks have 34 losses, Raptors have 35, while Sixers/Magic/Suns have 36 apiece. i dont know the tiebreak scenarios or how they play out with respect to draft order
 
scott said:
Shit's over. We're picking #20.
Click to expand...
Atlanta (Cleveland x2, Miami) is one game ahead of Toronto (Miami, NY, Brooklyn) and 2 ahead of Phoenix (Dallas, Lakers, OKC), Philly (Houston, Indiana, Milwaukee) and Orlando (Minnesota, Chicago, Boston). I think Toronto can still catch them, with an outside chance for Phoenix and Philly as well, but Atlanta HAS to lose today to Cleveland.
 
STAT88 said:
Atlanta had a reasonably tough final 4 games. New York, Cleveland twice, Miami. Only hope of them dropping to the play-in is to go 1-3 or 0-4 in those which is unlikely.
Click to expand...
The problem though is that by this point teams are sitting guys and strategizing about their slot, so the strength of schedule is kinda fools gold. Cleveland is one of those teams happy to take the L if it means staying in the 4/5.
 
scott said:
Shit's over. We're picking #20.
Click to expand...
Yeah, i made my peace with it. Balances out lucking in to #2 last year :cool:

I havent really done a deep dive into the lotto yet, but the pundits keep saying it pretty flat talent-wise from 12 to 20 so theres that too.
 
Since the Spurs are on after the Cavs-Hawks game, it is definitely going to overtime. Maybe even two of them.
 
the odds of the hawks falling all the way to the play-in remains exceedingly small

even if they lose out (@ cavs today, vs cavs next, and then @ miami in the finale), there would only be about a 33% chance they fall into the play-in

www.playoffstatus.com

Atlanta Hawks What If?

The Hawks What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Hawks play future games.
www.playoffstatus.com www.playoffstatus.com
 
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