Draft 2026 NBA Draft Prospects Thread

Do we trade away our pick or draft a player?

  • Draft

    Votes: 52 82.5%
  • Trade

    Votes: 7 11.1%
  • Cash Considerations

    Votes: 4 6.3%

  • Total voters
    63
A 23 YO playing against 18 YOs is like a HS senior playing against 8th graders. It’s a gross physical mismatch,and you shouldn’t take much away from it.

As for his size, that’s Bam sized, and he has no problem blocking shots.
I’m no fan of Yaxel, but this is blatantly incorrect. Most college teams don’t trot out freshmen unless they’re NBA bound. Teams are mostly playing sophomores, juniors, and seniors. You’d have a better point if you said he was doing this against poor competition - which Saint Louis was. The player he dunked on is probably a future accountant.
 
I’m no fan of Yaxel, but this is blatantly incorrect. Most college teams don’t trot out freshmen unless they’re NBA bound. Teams are mostly playing sophomores, juniors, and seniors. You’d have a better point if you said he was doing this against poor competition - which Saint Louis was. The player he dunked on is probably a future accountant.
We can agree to disagree on this point, as we have for years. There is a new class of freshmen every year. The best go to the NBA after one season, leaving the sophomore class weaker than it was as a freshman class. After the sophomore year, another scrape happens, leaving the junior class even weaker than it was as a freshman class.

If you stay in school long enough, your class gets very weak, and you’re playing against kids, to boot.

Nobody gushes over Jacquez or Podziemski any more. They made a big splash as rookies, but they were pretty much fully formed. They were all that they would become. Other unlucky ones like Duarte don’t make it out of their rookie deal after making second team All Rookie.
 
We can agree to disagree on this point, as we have for years. There is a new class of freshmen every year. The best go to the NBA after one season, leaving the sophomore class weaker than it was as a freshman class. After the sophomore year, another scrape happens, leaving the junior class even weaker than it was as a freshman class.

If you stay in school long enough, your class gets very weak, and you’re playing against kids, to boot.

Nobody gushes over Jacquez or Podziemski any more. They made a big splash as rookies, but they were pretty much fully formed. They were all that they would become. Other unlucky ones like Duarte don’t make it out of their rookie deal after making second team All Rookie.
We can agree to disagree on how misleading it is to say that Yaxel was going against a team full of 18 year olds… sure. That was an unnecessary hyperbole, is all I’m saying.

Also, are we pretending that there are no good to great players who get drafted as sophomores and juniors? To say that everyone who gets leftover is garbage is yet another exaggeration.
 
We can agree to disagree on how misleading it is to say that Yaxel was going against a team full of 18 year olds… sure. That was an unnecessary hyperbole, is all I’m saying.

Also, are we pretending that there are no good to great players who get drafted as sophomores and juniors? To say that everyone who gets leftover is garbage is yet another exaggeration.
They’re not garbage, but to extrapolate a further large development jump is probably unwise. My opinion, which you do not share, is that they are what they are. Looking,and saying they’re really good, and could be great is a mistake that multiple GMs have made.
 
I think one interesting wrinkle about the draft for the Spurs specifically moving forward is how the cap basically discourages drafting in the way that Brian Wright loves to draft.

In the past, we've seen that Brian Wright loves taking young high character guy with elite physical tools to develop them.

But the problem is that when these guys hit, they usually hit big and with Wemby/Castle/Harper + probably Carter Bryant moving forward, I doubt that the Spurs can afford them if they do hit. So basically you're taking on all the risk of drafting a super young guy but by the time he hits, you may not be able to keep him because of his physical tools.

The poster boy for this type of reasoning is probably Jayden Quaintance, who is a borderline top 5 guy for me without health issues but would probably not touch for this spurs team - you basically take on all the risk of him recovering from his ACL injury and developing well given his age. But if his health issues check out and he's fine, his value is potentially a DPOY-level Bam-Timelord hybrid center who's just starting to hit on his upside at age 22-23. Teams will absolutely throw a max or near max at a guy like that, and the Spurs will be forced to either trade him or let him go.

I'm not advocating for exclusively targeting upperclassmen obviously, and this is a good problem to have because it's because you have an elite core already in place, but you wonder if in the coming years Brian Wright changes how he drafts because the aprons now place an asymmetric risk-reward ratio for targeting these young toolsy guys he loves so much.
 
I think one interesting wrinkle about the draft for the Spurs specifically moving forward is how the cap basically discourages drafting in the way that Brian Wright loves to draft.

In the past, we've seen that Brian Wright loves taking young high character guy with elite physical tools to develop them.

But the problem is that when these guys hit, they usually hit big and with Wemby/Castle/Harper + probably Carter Bryant moving forward, I doubt that the Spurs can afford them if they do hit. So basically you're taking on all the risk of drafting a super young guy but by the time he hits, you may not be able to keep him because of his physical tools.

The poster boy for this type of reasoning is probably Jayden Quaintance, who is a borderline top 5 guy for me without health issues but would probably not touch for this spurs team - you basically take on all the risk of him recovering from his ACL injury and developing well given his age. But if his health issues check out and he's fine, his value is potentially a DPOY-level Bam-Timelord hybrid center who's just starting to hit on his upside at age 22-23. Teams will absolutely throw a max or near max at a guy like that, and the Spurs will be forced to either trade him or let him go.
I'd agree with what you say if we're talking about prospects who would likely spend most of their rookie scale contracts recovering or developing rather than being productive and you get little to nothing out of it. But if you think you have a gem and you feel like they can contribute during their rookie contract, just take them and deal with it later.

When the time comes, there could be several avenues: 1) you sign them to a friendly extension if they're willing (like say a Jalen Johnson) 2) you trade them (at a profit) for cost-controlled role players or assets 3) you may realize they're so good you're better off trading someone you considered part of your core for assets. All of those are good problems to have.

In the case of Quaintance though, I'm scared shitless of his injury history, but I trust the Spurs organization when it comes to medical stuff even more so than scouting, so I would be ok if they took him.
 
I think one interesting wrinkle about the draft for the Spurs specifically moving forward is how the cap basically discourages drafting in the way that Brian Wright loves to draft.

In the past, we've seen that Brian Wright loves taking young high character guy with elite physical tools to develop them.

But the problem is that when these guys hit, they usually hit big and with Wemby/Castle/Harper + probably Carter Bryant moving forward, I doubt that the Spurs can afford them if they do hit. So basically you're taking on all the risk of drafting a super young guy but by the time he hits, you may not be able to keep him because of his physical tools.

The poster boy for this type of reasoning is probably Jayden Quaintance, who is a borderline top 5 guy for me without health issues but would probably not touch for this spurs team - you basically take on all the risk of him recovering from his ACL injury and developing well given his age. But if his health issues check out and he's fine, his value is potentially a DPOY-level Bam-Timelord hybrid center who's just starting to hit on his upside at age 22-23. Teams will absolutely throw a max or near max at a guy like that, and the Spurs will be forced to either trade him or let him go.
Then you let him go, having used up all of his cheap rookie contract years. Honestly, throwing a MAX contract at that archetype is a mistake you should let someone else make. Bam’s contract is one of the worst in the league.

I don’t believe you should ever draft lesser talent hoping that they don’t become a star so you won’t have to pay them.
 
Then you let him go, having used up all of his cheap rookie contract years. Honestly, throwing a MAX contract at that archetype is a mistake you should let someone else make. Bam’s contract is one of the worst in the league.

I don’t believe you should ever draft lesser talent hoping that they don’t become a star so you won’t have to pay them.
But that's the point, right? If you're drafting raw toolsy players and developing them, then their impact is probably going to be less in their cheap rookie years. I use JQ as a prime example because not only is he super raw, but he's also got major injury concerns as well. But in order to develop them, you've got to give them minutes where they are usually going to be a negative on the court. For every Carter Bryant, you might have to put up with 4 years of Tidjane Salaun or Cody Williams-level impact. Jalen Duren was a negative impact player for his first two years, became net neutral his third year, and is now an all-star his fourth year just in time for when you have to pay him a bunch of money. I guess you can sign and trade these guys, but you're still losing value over the course of their cheap rookie contract.
 
But that's the point, right? If you're drafting raw toolsy players and developing them, then their impact is probably going to be less in their cheap rookie years. I use JQ as a prime example because not only is he super raw, but he's also got major injury concerns as well. But in order to develop them, you've got to give them minutes where they are usually going to be a negative on the court. For every Carter Bryant, you might have to put up with 4 years of Tidjane Salaun or Cody Williams-level impact. Jalen Duren was a negative impact player for his first two years, became net neutral his third year, and is now an all-star his fourth year just in time for when you have to pay him a bunch of money. I guess you can sign and trade these guys, but you're still losing value over the course of their cheap rookie contract.
You get four years of cheap. If he doesn’t pop,you get him cheap on the follow on. If he does, you probably still get two cheap high production years. If he’s terrible, you let him roll off. Honestly,you won’t get stuck with a Salaun. If we drafted Malaki or Blake now,they wouldn’t get all of their options picked up. That was a case of roster filling on a tanking team.

I think Duren would have popped sooner if they hadn’t been in tank mode.
 
I think one interesting wrinkle about the draft for the Spurs specifically moving forward is how the cap basically discourages drafting in the way that Brian Wright loves to draft.

In the past, we've seen that Brian Wright loves taking young high character guy with elite physical tools to develop them.

But the problem is that when these guys hit, they usually hit big and with Wemby/Castle/Harper + probably Carter Bryant moving forward, I doubt that the Spurs can afford them if they do hit. So basically you're taking on all the risk of drafting a super young guy but by the time he hits, you may not be able to keep him because of his physical tools.

The poster boy for this type of reasoning is probably Jayden Quaintance, who is a borderline top 5 guy for me without health issues but would probably not touch for this spurs team - you basically take on all the risk of him recovering from his ACL injury and developing well given his age. But if his health issues check out and he's fine, his value is potentially a DPOY-level Bam-Timelord hybrid center who's just starting to hit on his upside at age 22-23. Teams will absolutely throw a max or near max at a guy like that, and the Spurs will be forced to either trade him or let him go.

I'm not advocating for exclusively targeting upperclassmen obviously, and this is a good problem to have because it's because you have an elite core already in place, but you wonder if in the coming years Brian Wright changes how he drafts because the aprons now place an asymmetric risk-reward ratio for targeting these young toolsy guys he loves so much.
But how is that...having to trade out a talent ..a liability? If the Spurs can't afford to keep Quantaince or a talent like that because they can't afford him..they can always sell him high and use that trade for high draft picks which they can use for trades too, right? I see no downside/risk in talking a talent who then hits at a good time but gets unaffordable.
 
Can he defend tho?
No he cannot. He'd be third-string bench fodder on the Spurs or any other contending team for that reason. He turns 24 in September and is a below-average athlete by NBA standards, which is why he'll be a 2nd round Pick. But for a 3rd stringer, you could do worse than a 6'8 knock-down shooter tbh.
 
Oh, no arguments from me there. If the Spurs want to sign high profile 2nd rounders they have to be willing to up their contract offer rather than selecting players unilaterally to later strong-arm them into below-market deals by threatening to hold them hostage if they don't sign (not that this ever happened, but was the proposed mechanism above).
I think my point is that the argument of "Maxime didn't want to come here so we didn't draft him" is based on a very specific set of static assumptions.

I think (and I'm not trying to put words into his mouth) @spurraider21's point is that if we wanted him, we could have taken him and done what was required (a guaranteed contract, for example) for him to be perfectly happy being drafted by the Spurs. The premise that Maxime only wanted to play for SAC and he called his own destination and no one would touch him with a 10-foot pole is oversimplified and is actually more nuanced. I'm almost certain he'd be a happy Spur right now (though he wouldn't look like the same dude, because his PT would be drastically different) had the Spurs taken him and given him the contract he deserves. Alas, "the Spurs didn't want him" is just as accurate as saying "He wanted to go to SAC" - because it is clear that the Spurs didn't want him at the price it would have taken to draft him (a guaranteed SRP deal).

In other words... I think you and sr are both correct in what you are saying, but kind of speaking past the overlap of your respective positions.

This isn't my argument tho (he's not a Spur, I've moved on), so I'm sorry I stuck my nose in.
 
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Lopez does seem like such a Wright pick tbh. Probably the odds on favorite to be a Spur if he makes it to the mid-teens.
 
We can agree to disagree on this point, as we have for years. There is a new class of freshmen every year. The best go to the NBA after one season, leaving the sophomore class weaker than it was as a freshman class. After the sophomore year, another scrape happens, leaving the junior class even weaker than it was as a freshman class.

If you stay in school long enough, your class gets very weak, and you’re playing against kids, to boot.

Nobody gushes over Jacquez or Podziemski any more. They made a big splash as rookies, but they were pretty much fully formed. They were all that they would become. Other unlucky ones like Duarte don’t make it out of their rookie deal after making second team All Rookie.

Jacquez is one of the front-runners for 6MOY, a quite productive NBA player. Podz is also a quite productive NBA player. It's not like either went the Chris Duarte route. I'd be very happy to draft an older guy who turned out like Jacquez or Podz, tbh.
 
I think one interesting wrinkle about the draft for the Spurs specifically moving forward is how the cap basically discourages drafting in the way that Brian Wright loves to draft.

In the past, we've seen that Brian Wright loves taking young high character guy with elite physical tools to develop them.

But the problem is that when these guys hit, they usually hit big and with Wemby/Castle/Harper + probably Carter Bryant moving forward, I doubt that the Spurs can afford them if they do hit. So basically you're taking on all the risk of drafting a super young guy but by the time he hits, you may not be able to keep him because of his physical tools.

The poster boy for this type of reasoning is probably Jayden Quaintance, who is a borderline top 5 guy for me without health issues but would probably not touch for this spurs team - you basically take on all the risk of him recovering from his ACL injury and developing well given his age. But if his health issues check out and he's fine, his value is potentially a DPOY-level Bam-Timelord hybrid center who's just starting to hit on his upside at age 22-23. Teams will absolutely throw a max or near max at a guy like that, and the Spurs will be forced to either trade him or let him go.

I'm not advocating for exclusively targeting upperclassmen obviously, and this is a good problem to have because it's because you have an elite core already in place, but you wonder if in the coming years Brian Wright changes how he drafts because the aprons now place an asymmetric risk-reward ratio for targeting these young toolsy guys he loves so much.
I think this is a really important point but also highlights how there is a practical limit to stacking your team up through successive tank jobs.

For as much as everyone was excited about the Hawks swap potentially delivering us a Top 4 pick... the practical reality is that whatever gains landing a Top 4 pick would have gotten us (in terms of an actual player) - they would have been short lived. Say we ended up with Boozer or Wilson... how would we reasonable expect to keep this team together? Forget Fox or Vassell... you're also talking about having to shed one of Castle/Harper/Top4-guy in a few years as well. Had we landed a Top 4, our best move would have been to cash in that pick by trading it for future assets.

The core is set and now the Spurs need to surround them with role players, and a late-teens/mid-20s pick is the right place to pick those kings of guys up.
 
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