Draft 2026 NBA Draft Prospects Thread

Do we trade away our pick or draft a player?

  • Draft

    Votes: 52 82.5%
  • Trade

    Votes: 7 11.1%
  • Cash Considerations

    Votes: 4 6.3%

  • Total voters
    63
Marc Gasol is the name you look for.
You are one of the most well versed posters here when it comes to euro prospects so I trust your judgement, and I wasn’t exactly following Marc gasol in his age 20 season, but was he really that bad? Bball reference shows 2.2 blks/36 in ACB (for reference Hannes is 1.3 blks/36 this season) which is I assume higher level comp than big 10 play, and he had the anthros (6’11, 7’4 wingspan, solid 250+ lbs) to improve. If anything, I see gasol more in Ngongba this year.
 
People lamenting that Karim Lopez, Mara, Cenac, Steinbach, Haugh, Lendeborg won't be available by the time Spurs pick... we're sure there's like 15 players going in the 11-20 range, I'd be great for those claiming their favorite prospect won't be there to say who will be to tell whether it's actually bad news... or good news.

I don't see a clear no fail prospect in the teens but I think there are many good bets to be very legit players all the way to the late first round, and you can make a similarly good case for/against most of them, so I have them about the same tier. Of course not everyone will end up on the right side of history, but if you take 10 people and you have random combinations of 2/3 players evenly distributed, that speaks to the parity of the class.
I think most people say "likely won't be available". that's not lamenting, that's just working with probabilities based on mocks and such stuff. you can do the maths. yes, some of those, who "likely" won't be available, will in fact be available on draft night, because likely doesn't mean sure fire and yes, some will drop.
 
I think most people say "likely won't be available". that's not lamenting, that's just working with probabilities based on mocks and such stuff. you can do the maths. yes, some of those, who "likely" won't be available, will in fact be available on draft night, because likely doesn't mean sure fire and yes, some will drop.
For starters, right now Atlanta's pick would fall at 19 but there are SEVEN teams between 40 and 38 wins, the pick could very well fall anywhere in that range and I without knowing this saying player X won't be available is meaningless.

Also, and I reiterate, it's not true that most mocks have the BB favorites as likely unavailable. Just taking a possible (IMO pessimistic even) view on Atlanta's pick falling at 18, ESPN shows Cenac, Carr, Mara, Morez, Swain, Jefferson, Zuby Ojiofor, Yessoufou, Koa Peat, Krivas, as available... I don't know that there's a single poster in this thread that hasn't named one of those in, say, one of their top 3 favorites (if so, please refute me).

To exemplify with someone who's been active and unafraid to list his preferences, that's over 70% of OK computer's latest list, I have to assume he'd be pretty satisfied with that result. And you can make a similar case I'm sure with most posters including yourself, as you've been advocating for Koa Peat so I would have expected a more optimistic outlook from you.
 
Could actually see iHart signing a multi-year deal to stay in OKC at a lower starting salary and then figuring it out later tbh. Think they're gonna try hard to keep him. If he does dip though, Mitchell Robinson is the only UFA Center that's worth a damn imo. Maybe Ayton. Don't think they'd have any interest in guys like Drummond, Nurkic, Jaxson Hayes, etc.
They’re going to have to roll guys off. Shai is on a 35% SuperMax, and both Chet and JW are 25% maxed. I think both IHart and Dort are history this summer.
 
They’re going to have to roll guys off. Shai is on a 35% SuperMax, and both Chet and JW are 25% maxed. I think both IHart and Dort are history this summer.
Presti is smart and Dort has outlived his purpose, especially if he gets involved in another incident or two.
I think maybe even Caruso could be gone, he's not worth the money he's on and if they keep him for another season he could become a negative asset.
 
You are one of the most well versed posters here when it comes to euro prospects so I trust your judgement, and I wasn’t exactly following Marc gasol in his age 20 season, but was he really that bad? Bball reference shows 2.2 blks/36 in ACB (for reference Hannes is 1.3 blks/36 this season) which is I assume higher level comp than big 10 play, and he had the anthros (6’11, 7’4 wingspan, solid 250+ lbs) to improve. If anything, I see gasol more in Ngongba this year.
yes, but then you would have to compare 19/20 years old Steinbach to 19/20 years old Marc Gasol and young Marc Gasol wasn't considered a good defender, one reason why he didn't make the starting unit with Barca. he was to slow and had stamina problems. (they called him "the big burrito"). but yes, of course he had great size and good shot blocking instincts, that explains the good blocks per 36 minutes numbers. (playing mostly against the other teams 2nd units helped as well).
but I didn't want to compare Steinbach to Gasol as players, just wanted to give a name of a big man, who wasn't a good defender when young and turned into a good defender later on. (Gasol turned into a fantastic defender obviously)
 
Presti is smart and Dort has outlived his purpose, especially if he gets involved in another incident or two.
I think maybe even Caruso could be gone, he's not worth the money he's on and if they keep him for another season he could become a negative asset.
Caruso’s shooting has already kind have gone in the toilet, from 44% 3s last year to 29% on fewer attempts this year. He’s the guy Wemby “guards”, because no one really cares if he lets it fly. unfortunately for OKC, he’s got 3 years/~$60M left at age 31. He’s a negative asset that will cost them picks or positive asset players to get off of.

Presti’s chickens are coming home to roost.
 
Mara looks nice. I haven't done a deep dive or anything, but taking him and having him develop to eventually overtake Korndog as the primary backup 5 would make sense. in line with what ive said before, there wouldnt be immediate pressure for him to put up or shut up and be a day 1 rotation player.
 
For starters, right now Atlanta's pick would fall at 19 but there are SEVEN teams between 40 and 38 wins, the pick could very well fall anywhere in that range and I without knowing this saying player X won't be available is meaningless.

Also, and I reiterate, it's not true that most mocks have the BB favorites as likely unavailable. Just taking a possible (IMO pessimistic even) view on Atlanta's pick falling at 18, ESPN shows Cenac, Carr, Mara, Morez, Swain, Jefferson, Zuby Ojiofor, Yessoufou, Koa Peat, Krivas, as available... I don't know that there's a single poster in this thread that hasn't named one of those in, say, one of their top 3 favorites (if so, please refute me).

To exemplify with someone who's been active and unafraid to list his preferences, that's over 70% of OK computer's latest list, I have to assume he'd be pretty satisfied with that result. And you can make a similar case I'm sure with most posters including yourself, as you've been advocating for Koa Peat so I would have expected a more optimistic outlook from you.
Not to mention its just way too early to have any handle on who will be there from 15-35. The best college guys in that range can make more money staying in college, international guys will come out of nowhere, etc. This plays out every yr, the late lottery and rest of the draft is a huge unknown until a few days before the draft and then dudes will shockingly jump and fall on draft night. There simply isn't a meaningful "likely" today for a draft in 3 months, at least outside of the top.

Just think back a yr. In March 2025 the "likely" outcomes= Kon was a late lottery guy, Carter Bryant was 15-25 (before jumping up to consenus top-10), Fleming was a consenus first rounder before being consenus top-20, Cedric Coward was maybe a late 2nd MAYBE, Hugo Gonzalez and Liam McNeeley were top20 guys/maybe late lottery, Yang Hansen Nique Clifford and Walter Clayton were a mid-2nd at best. Picking at 25 with March 2025 big boards? Fleming, Hugo, McNeeley= those guys likely won't be available. But you'll absolutely be able to snag Coward or Hansen or Nique or Clayton there though- no question, you'll "likely" be able to get any of them 35-40, shit you'll "likely" get Cedric and Clayton in the 50s, along with Sion James, assuming anyone is stupid enough to draft those fringe prospects. That was the consenus "likely" a yr ago.
 
Last edited:
The yr before, Cody Williams and Buzelis were top5 in late March, Steph wasn't, Dalton Knecht was maybe a top10 definitely 15 likely along with Ja'kobe Walter, Isaiah Collier and Kyle Filipowski, Zach Eddy was a borderline 1st. Tristan Da Silva will be there in the 20s, but Tyler Smith won't be.
Every single yr. There is no meaningful likely in March.

Thanks to those posting the player profiles and insights. These threads are how I get familiar most prospects and international guys every yr.
 
I think most people say "likely won't be available". that's not lamenting, that's just working with probabilities based on mocks and such stuff. you can do the maths. yes, some of those, who "likely" won't be available, will in fact be available on draft night, because likely doesn't mean sure fire and yes, some will drop.
That, plus 3 of ATL’s next 4 are Detroit, and Boston X 2, and they finish with NYK,CLE,CLE,MIA, and each game is alternately home and road. We’ll see if they’re really a 6 seed, really a 10 seed, or something in between.
 
It’s more than one thing with Yaxel. We didn’t invest a pick into DJG - the stakes are higher when using a pick.

I think with any player we like, we’re willing to look past their flaws and obvious red flags. He posts a nice stat line one night and nothing else matters after that for some people. That’s a natural thing that happens in sports and fandom.

It’s not false that year after year there are NBA players that don’t work out due to unprofessionalism or non-basketball related things. It’s also not false that the Spurs are very conservative and risk-averse when it comes to this sort of thing. I’m just putting two and two together when it comes to this analysis. As I said above - I can only work on becoming confident about things but I cannot work on being 100% right. I’m confident Yaxel (more than twice as confident about him than Karim) will be passed up if he is available when the Spurs pick. For funsies, I’m willing to take a bet with anyone on that.
Good points, personally I'm very turned off by Yaxel's seeming lack of maturity. The fact he couldn't make the grades until his Senior yr of HS? Kinda scary. This was 2015-2018, they were trying to flunk anyone in 2016 South Jersey. Could mean he's too lazy to try, and to stupid to show up and pass. Or could be many reasons, still a red flag.

But with our need at F on a team ready to win, and his skill-set and versatility plus the Spurs culture and the team full of pros coming off of a shocking 60+ win season, with Dave and Timmy hanging around, and Sochan acting as a cautionary tale. It'd be really hard to not roll that dice if he's there in the 18-20range not just because his production, but because the Spurs are not the Kangs/Wiz, and his particular circumstances may help explain his lack of maturity/flaws.
And on the court, a fully plug and play stretch 4 whose a + to ++ BBIQ rebounder defender and connector, with ++ length and who has pretty much improved across the board every single yr? Someone who, if they hit, can realistically give you something like 24y/o Tari/PJ Washington/Naz production immediately for $3.5M a yr and whose likely to be underpaid his whole career as a 28 y/o RFA? But dude is damn enticing less because his stat-line than because he keeps improving (across the board), he honed skillset rather than natural talent/athleticism, the relative value he provides and the Spurs roster/culture and expectations. I wouldn't want him at 12, but at 18 or 20? That's Dalen Terry/Malaki Branham or Josh Green/Precious Achiuwa territory. If you can get a potential day-one starter at a position of need there, its hard to say no.

I'd bet my life maturity wasn't expected or rewarded in HS or JuCo. He graduated during COVID hysteria, worldwide maturity was at an all-time low. At UAB they were just happy to get his talent. Michigan got him to win a National Championship, they weren't gonna harp on about maturity for a consensus 1st AA. With Sochan gone, I think every single guy on the roster is a legit pro, including Harp and CB. Vic is the most mature young superstar since Timmy. Steph is the most mature young Rook a can remember. All 4 are significantly younger than Yaxel. Unless Yaxel is functionally retarded, its hard to imagine he would come in and not raise his maturity to guys 2-3 yrs younger, who've accomplished more. Tristan Da Silva and Jaquez Jr both went 18th, I will not be at all surprised if Yaxel is a better player than both by next year's AS break. I think his age is a big benefit here, he'll come in ready, nearly at his peak, then you get most of his prime on his rookie deal.

Setting, tone, and expectations can make a huge difference, especially if its never been expected. Professionalism is not natural, it must be learned. I seriously doubt he learned anything that thought him how to behave like an NBA prospect at JuCo. I think theres a high chance this dude hasn't had much of an opportunity to learn about it anywhere he's been. Maybe he's too old to change, maybe some of this is shtick for an Insta/TikTok world. How he handles the pre-draft process and interviews will go a long way towards answering this stuff imo.
 
For starters, right now Atlanta's pick would fall at 19 but there are SEVEN teams between 40 and 38 wins, the pick could very well fall anywhere in that range and I without knowing this saying player X won't be available is meaningless.

Also, and I reiterate, it's not true that most mocks have the BB favorites as likely unavailable. Just taking a possible (IMO pessimistic even) view on Atlanta's pick falling at 18, ESPN shows Cenac, Carr, Mara, Morez, Swain, Jefferson, Zuby Ojiofor, Yessoufou, Koa Peat, Krivas, as available... I don't know that there's a single poster in this thread that hasn't named one of those in, say, one of their top 3 favorites (if so, please refute me).

To exemplify with someone who's been active and unafraid to list his preferences, that's over 70% of OK computer's latest list, I have to assume he'd be pretty satisfied with that result. And you can make a similar case I'm sure with most posters including yourself, as you've been advocating for Koa Peat so I would have expected a more optimistic outlook from you.
Well, the pessimist is likely a happy man on draft night.......but yes, some weeks ago, when the pick was still in the low teens, I was advocating for Lopez and Peat and my point was, that it wouldn't be a reach to pick them that high, despite most mocks had them much lower. Now the pick is trending south I still believe they are underrated (not on all boards), so I prepare myself for disappointment. I'm now focusing on prospects Spurs might see as long term projects. (Sure, either Lopez and Peat would be that type as well).
 
I think where I'm at on Steinbach is that while I think he's going to be legitimately good, his fit on this current roster might be too tough for me to take him after some other guys. As outlandish as it sounds, I think the 4th least likely to be traded guy long term after Wemby, Castle, and Harper is Keldon Johnson and the Hannes-Keldon pairing is just so bad defensively that it probably outweighs his offensive potential. I didn't realize this a while ago, but Hannes when playing as the lone big allows 70% FG at the rim and this is against college players. If you play him alongside another big you are basically playing Keldon as a wing and taking away a ton of the strengths that he has playing the PF position this year and expose the fact that both Keldon and Hannes are both below average shooters for a wing and PF respectively, although they are probably above average in this respect for PF and center, respectively.

Now, Hannes is still very young, but he does not have the anthros to beat the allegations of being a poor rim protector at the next level. I can't think of any guys who were poor rim protectors in college who ended up being decent rim protectors as pros, although if we can come up with some examples that would certainly change my outlook on Hannes. The best one I can think of is maybe Brook Lopez however he has the size and anthros to beat the aforementioned concerns and also his rim protection in college was still not terrible.

That's how I see it as well.

Maybe the wrong matchup in the playoffs changes their mind, but with the success they're enjoying, expect them to continue with the same front court formula. Mostly neutral - plus shooting big wings playing the four, with Wembanyama playing more of it in the future, in certain matchups, as they hopefully improve the C depth on the deep bench by finding a similar archetype to Kornet to eventually replace him.

Lendeborg, Haugh, Steinbach, Peat and Cenac don't fit this description.
 
Yaxel is also expected to be focus of his team n with defenses focusing on him, he excels. He will have freedom on spurs
 
Good points, personally I'm very turned off by Yaxel's seeming lack of maturity. The fact he couldn't make the grades until his Senior yr of HS? Kinda scary. This was 2015-2018, they were trying to flunk anyone in 2016 South Jersey. Could mean he's too lazy to try, and to stupid to show up and pass. Or could be many reasons, still a red flag.

But with our need at F on a team ready to win, and his skill-set and versatility plus the Spurs culture and the team full of pros coming off of a shocking 60+ win season, with Dave and Timmy hanging around, and Sochan acting as a cautionary tale. It'd be really hard to not roll that dice if he's there in the 18-20range not just because his production, but because the Spurs are not the Kangs/Wiz, and his particular circumstances may help explain his lack of maturity/flaws.
And on the court, a fully plug and play stretch 4 whose a + to ++ BBIQ rebounder defender and connector, with ++ length and who has pretty much improved across the board every single yr? Someone who, if they hit, can realistically give you something like 24y/o Tari/PJ Washington/Naz production immediately for $3.5M a yr and whose likely to be underpaid his whole career as a 28 y/o RFA? But dude is damn enticing less because his stat-line than because he keeps improving (across the board), he honed skillset rather than natural talent/athleticism, the relative value he provides and the Spurs roster/culture and expectations. I wouldn't want him at 12, but at 18 or 20? That's Dalen Terry/Malaki Branham or Josh Green/Precious Achiuwa territory. If you can get a potential day-one starter at a position of need there, its hard to say no.

I'd bet my life maturity wasn't expected or rewarded in HS or JuCo. He graduated during COVID hysteria, worldwide maturity was at an all-time low. At UAB they were just happy to get his talent. Michigan got him to win a National Championship, they weren't gonna harp on about maturity for a consensus 1st AA. With Sochan gone, I think every single guy on the roster is a legit pro, including Harp and CB. Vic is the most mature young superstar since Timmy. Steph is the most mature young Rook a can remember. All 4 are significantly younger than Yaxel. Unless Yaxel is functionally retarded, its hard to imagine he would come in and not raise his maturity to guys 2-3 yrs younger, who've accomplished more. Tristan Da Silva and Jaquez Jr both went 18th, I will not be at all surprised if Yaxel is a better player than both by next year's AS break. I think his age is a big benefit here, he'll come in ready, nearly at his peak, then you get most of his prime on his rookie deal.

Setting, tone, and expectations can make a huge difference, especially if its never been expected. Professionalism is not natural, it must be learned. I seriously doubt he learned anything that thought him how to behave like an NBA prospect at JuCo. I think theres a high chance this dude hasn't had much of an opportunity to learn about it anywhere he's been. Maybe he's too old to change, maybe some of this is shtick for an Insta/TikTok world. How he handles the pre-draft process and interviews will go a long way towards answering this stuff imo.
Very good post. There's context to everything, maybe it took longer for him to mature, maybe he isn't a bright kid academically, but I've heard people dismiss Ace Bailey last year right here on the same grounds and he's looking like a steal for Utah, in 2022 some talked about Tari Eason like he was mentally incapable of playing organized basketball and he proved a much better character than Primo who passed all Spurs test with flying colors to the point it was nauseating to read how the Spurs raved about him (Carter Bryant like).

Spurs need to ask themselves these questions: 1) Is Lendeborg the best option basketball wise? 2) Can he process what would be expected from him on and off the court? 3) Under the right guidance, would he be able to avoid being a detriment to the locker-room? 4) does he have the work ethic required to succeed in the NBA? If the answer is yes to all (not saying that is the case), then you thank for his age and red flags as they're the only reason he fell into your lap.

To clarify, I'm not saying he should be the pick or that I believe he's a Spurs target but I am intrigued enough that I hope if Spurs pass on him in the late teens it will be for better reasons than those I've read on this thread.
 
Atlanta just won in Detroit. Yaxel is an unattainable dream at this point.
 
Very good post. There's context to everything, maybe it took longer for him to mature, maybe he isn't a bright kid academically, but I've heard people dismiss Ace Bailey last year right here on the same grounds and he's looking like a steal for Utah, in 2022 some talked about Tari Eason like he was mentally incapable of playing organized basketball and he proved a much better character than Primo who passed all Spurs test with flying colors to the point it was nauseating to read how the Spurs raved about him (Carter Bryant like).

Spurs need to ask themselves these questions: 1) Is Lendeborg the best option basketball wise? 2) Can he process what would be expected from him on and off the court? 3) Under the right guidance, would he be able to avoid being a detriment to the locker-room? 4) does he have the work ethic required to succeed in the NBA? If the answer is yes to all (not saying that is the case), then you thank for his age and red flags as they're the only reason he fell into your lap.

To clarify, I'm not saying he should be the pick or that I believe he's a Spurs target but I am intrigued enough that I hope if Spurs pass on him in the late teens it will be for better reasons than those I've read on this thread.
These are basketball-oriented questions. Are the Spurs always basketball-first?

I do wonder how much attention is really paid to what they say, what they do in the community, and the values they consistently push. Culture, standards, and locker room fit have always been part of how they operate, not separate from basketball.

…My guess is that highlights are more fun to watch and pay attention to than any of this.

Keeping Bismack Biyombo around isn’t about production, it’s about what he brings to the locker room. And the situation with Joshua Primo shows that even when a guy looks like he checks every box, if something doesn’t align deeper, they’ll move on.

Fans should recognize what the Spurs are about, but more and more I realize the appreciation leans more toward the success they attain rather than the identity that drives that success.

It’s like admiring someone because they’re attractive, and ignoring who they are underneath. I personally am a fan of the Spurs as a whole — I love that they are principled and can find ways to win at the same time.
 
Last edited:
Back
Top