Analysis The Race for Home-Court Advantage - 25/26 Playoffs Seed Tracker

[Sugus]

for today's scoreboard watchers:

Thunder @ Raptors
Wolves @ Blazers
Magic @ Lakers

not that im massively worried about anybody other than Houston/Denver at this point, and Denver only because they play us 3 times

Always appreciate these updates, I sleep through all of these games so it's nice to have results to look up to the next day. Thanks!

 

[ambchang]

stop spreading fake ai slop

I don't even know how AI got 4 teams. I found the following.
Hawks went 17-0 in Jan 2015
Suns 16-0 in Nov 2021
Warriors 16-0 Nov 2015
Spurs 16-0 March 2014 and March 1996
Clippers 16-0 Dec 2012
Lakers 16-0 Dec 1971

 

[Dbreiden83080]

for today's scoreboard watchers:

Thunder @ Raptors
Wolves @ Blazers
Magic @ Lakers

not that im massively worried about anybody other than Houston/Denver at this point, and Denver only because they play us 3 times

See if Raptors show up tonight and help us out with OKC?? Then play like shit against us tomorrow..

 

[LeBowen]

Update:

7 more games against tanking teams.
Mavs, Kings, Pacers, Nets, Bulls, Grizzlies, Bucks.
I expect at least 6-1 here, probably 7-0 considering the tankathon is about to kick off.

10 more games against mediocre teams.
Hornets, Raptors, Warriors, Sixers x2, Clippers x3, Heat, Blazers
I guess 7-3 would be fine here, hoping for 8-2.

8 more games against legit playoff teams.
Rockets, Nuggets x3, Celtics, Suns, Pistons, Knicks
Just one Nuggets game and Knicks are on the road.
Unless we go 0-3 against the Nuggets, the second seed should be ours.

Just 3 b2bs left and I'd say we got lucky since two of those second nights are against the Nets and the Kings.
The third one is a Clippers-Pistons home b2b.

60 wins aren't out of the realm of possibility, realistically we should be aiming for 56-58 wins.

 

[Dbreiden83080]

Update:

7 more games against tanking teams.
Mavs, Kings, Pacers, Nets, Bulls, Grizzlies, Bucks.
I expect at least 6-1 here, probably 7-0 considering the tankathon is about to kick off.

10 more games against mediocre teams.
Hornets, Raptors, Warriors, Sixers x2, Clippers x3, Heat, Blazers
I guess 7-3 would be fine here, hoping for 8-2.

8 more games against legit playoff teams.
Rockets, Nuggets x3, Celtics, Suns, Pistons, Knicks
Just one Nuggets game and Knicks are on the road.
Unless we go 0-3 against the Nuggets, the second seed should be ours.

Just 3 b2bs left and I'd say we got lucky since two of those second nights are against the Nets and the Kings.
The third one is a Clippers-Pistons home b2b.

60 wins aren't out of the realm of possibility, realistically we should be aiming for 56-58 wins.

Nice job putting that together..

 

[spurraider21]

See if Raptors show up tonight and help us out with OKC?? Then play like shit against us tomorrow..

beat OKC in triple OT, then both are exhausted, so OKC loses their b2b to detroit and raptors lose their b2b to us

 

[Dbreiden83080]

beat OKC in triple OT, then both are exhausted, so OKC loses their b2b to detroit and raptors lose their b2b to us

Good deal..

 

[LeBowen]

Personally, I don't really care about what the others do.
If the Nuggets go on a crazy run, fair play.
I just want to see our guys give maximum effort every night and execute well.
Not even bothered by the Hawks pick, we got our roster and we've had enough lottery luck already.

 

[spurraider21]

also as it relates to scoreboard watching, in addition to us having 3 games left against Denver, the nuggets also play the thunder 3 more times, so those are some guaranteed losses for the two teams seen as our most viable competition out west

between the top 5 teams (thunder, spurs, nuggets, rockets, lakers), the thunder and nuggets have the most difficult schedules remaining, followed by the lakers, then us, and then after a wide gap, houston. this is true whether you look at a typical strength of schedule chart like on tankathon, or even the modeled versions like the craftednba one that @scott prefers

therefore despite their injuries, houston on paper is the team to watch as far as holding down the #2 seed. we get them at home on march 8. if we win that game, we clinch the season series and the tiebreaker, so at this moment, that is the single most important game left on our schedule. of course, if denver beats us all 3 times, different conversations may take place, but they have looked awfully mortal lately

 

[Mugen]

Not worried about Houston catching us at all. I'd say it's more likely that Jabari wins a spelling bee than the Rockets end up with the 2 seed tbh.

 

[scott]

also as it relates to scoreboard watching, in addition to us having 3 games left against Denver, the nuggets also play the thunder 3 more times, so those are some guaranteed losses for the two teams seen as our most viable competition out west

between the top 5 teams (thunder, spurs, nuggets, rockets, lakers), the thunder and nuggets have the most difficult schedules remaining, followed by the lakers, then us, and then after a wide gap, houston. this is true whether you look at a typical strength of schedule chart like on tankathon, or even the modeled versions like the craftednba one that @scott prefers

therefore despite their injuries, houston on paper is the team to watch as far as holding down the #2 seed. we get them at home on march 8. if we win that game, we clinch the season series and the tiebreaker, so at this moment, that is the single most important game left on our schedule. of course, if denver beats us all 3 times, different conversations may take place, but they have looked awfully mortal lately

This shouldn't come as news to anyone, but the next 14 days are huge. Our remaining SOS per crafted is +0.25 (11th toughest remaining), but the next 14 days are a +1.46! By comparison, the toughest remaining schedule (Nuggets) are only a +1.10.

Iron sharpens iron.

 

[spurraider21]

Not worried about Houston catching us at all. I'd say it's more likely that Jabari wins a spelling bee than the Rockets end up with the 2 seed tbh.

i get the sentiment tbh, and the adams injury will catch up with them at some point... but their schedule is just incredibly light

 

[ace3g]

https://twitter.com/x/status/2026411996401311747

 

[scott]

You know what makes DEN's schedule so hard? They have to play us.

 

[spurraider21]

You know what makes DEN's schedule so hard? They have to play us.

3 games against OKC and SAS apiece... rough

 

[Correct Crusader]

Wemby is gonna snatch Jokic's MVP chain

 

[thiste]

So, if you're the Raptors and you play OKC & the Spurs on back to back nights, you probably think the chance of winning both is rather slim.

Would you put all your energy on the first night against OKC? Or the second night against the Spurs?

 

[scott]

So, if you're the Raptors and you play OKC & the Spurs on back to back nights, you probably think the chance of winning both is rather slim.

Would you put all your energy on the first night against OKC? Or the second night against the Spurs?

OKC still without SGA, JDub and Ajay Mitchell... the Raptors should in theory probably look at the OKC game as the more winnable of the two

 

[Mugen]

So, if you're the Raptors and you play OKC & the Spurs on back to back nights, you probably think the chance of winning both is rather slim.

Would you put all your energy on the first night against OKC? Or the second night against the Spurs?

Obviously OKC, they're missing a ton of players.

 

[thiste]

Agreed, combined with the fact that coaches tend to rest their players more on 2nd nights of back to backs.

I'm kinda worried about this Toronto game tomorrow, as we have a tendency to take it easy after big performances. I hope we'll be up to it against the Raptors. They've got good shooters.

 

[Splits]

also if the spurs do win these last 2 games of the month, their win% will have them on a 60 win pace

stop spreading mathematical slop

 

[DAF86]

for today's scoreboard watchers:

Thunder @ Raptors
Wolves @ Blazers
Magic @ Lakers

not that im massively worried about anybody other than Houston/Denver at this point, and Denver only because they play us 3 times

Why wouldn't you be more worried about the Thunder than Rockets/Nuggets? We are closer to OKC.

 

[Splits]

Not worried about Houston catching us at all. I'd say it's more likely that Jabari wins a spelling bee than the Rockets end up with the 2 seed tbh.

Spellmaster: your word is "lose"
Jabair: Use it in a sentance
Spellmaster: You will lose against the Spurs
Jabair: "l-o-o-s-e" loose
Spurstalk: damn he got it
Spellmaster: what a loser

 

[spurraider21]

Why wouldn't you be more worried about the Thunder than Rockets/Nuggets? We are closer to OKC.

oh of course. i meant who i am worried about with respect to holding onto, at worst, the 2 seed

 

[Splits]

Gradey Dick holding his own...