SpursBills
Member
- Joined
- Nov 9, 2025
- Messages
- 17
- Reaction score
- 51
As of 11/22 (15 games in):
Some thoughts:
- Castle's year two leap is real. Now tied for highest EPM in his draft class. He has an outside argument for all-defense so far. If his jumper ever comes along, we're looking at a +3.5-4 player, which puts in him solid all star status and top 5% by impact
- It's weird to see that Keldon's defensive impact is higher than his offensive impact considering he's shooting almost 70% on 2P and taking minimal 3's, but I think a big part of that is the way he's hitting the boards so far. Regardless, so nice to see him have a positive impact for the first time in years
- Sochan, good lord. Even though he seems to be developing a better jump shot, he seems to be regressing in every other aspect of his game. Even if he becomes a decent shooter by season's end, I have a hard time seeing too many teams who would want to overpay for a 4th year player with a 30th percentile impact
- Harper's doing well so far - it's pretty rare for rookies to get anywhere near positive EPM and he's third in the class so far behind Coward (+1.1) and Kon (+0.5). Rookies are usually a walking disaster impact wise (see: Carter Bryant, offensive EPM -4.0) so the fact that he's been neutral early in the season is a really encouraging sign
Under-the-radar dudes whose EPM doesn't match their name recognition:
Neemias Queta (+3.7!), Sam Merrill (+2.8), Mamu! (+2.6), Quinten Jackson (+2.3), Collin Gillespie (+2.2), Ryan Rollins (+1.9), Dru Smith (+1.9), Paul Reed (+1.6)
Your 5 worst players so far by impact so far: 5) Rob Dillingham 4) Nigel Hayes-Davis 3) Jarace Walker 2) Tyus Jones 1) Bub Carrington with honorable mention Cody Williams
EDIT:
Looking at some league wide numbers, does anyone know anything about Jamison Battle? He barely plays for Toronto but he seems like a sniper with decent size and his defense hasn't been atrocious. He's got all the markings of someone who can scale up his 3P volume with more playing time without giving up any size. Worth a flyer at some point?
| EPM (%ile) | Offensive/Defensive EPM (%ile) | |
| Victor Wembanyama | +4.4 (96) | +1.7 (86) / +2.7 (99) |
| De'Aaron Fox | +2.3 (88) | +2.3 (91) / 0 (54) |
| Stephon Castle | +2.6 (90) | +0.3 (69) / +2.3 (97) |
| Julian Champagnie | +0.3 (66) | +0.3 (68) / 0 (53) |
| Harrison Barnes | +1.3 (79) | +1.4 (84) / -0.1 (47) |
| Devin Vassell | +0.2 (65) | +0.1 (66) / +0.1 (57) |
| Keldon Johnson | +0.4 (67) | -0.1 (61) / +0.5 (76) |
| Jeremy Sochan | -1.8 (34) | -1.6 (35) / -0.3 (39) |
| Luke Kornet | +1.1 (76) | +0.5 (71) / +0.5 (75) |
| Dylan Harper | -0.1 (61) | 0 (65) / -0.1 (50) |
Some thoughts:
- Castle's year two leap is real. Now tied for highest EPM in his draft class. He has an outside argument for all-defense so far. If his jumper ever comes along, we're looking at a +3.5-4 player, which puts in him solid all star status and top 5% by impact
- It's weird to see that Keldon's defensive impact is higher than his offensive impact considering he's shooting almost 70% on 2P and taking minimal 3's, but I think a big part of that is the way he's hitting the boards so far. Regardless, so nice to see him have a positive impact for the first time in years
- Sochan, good lord. Even though he seems to be developing a better jump shot, he seems to be regressing in every other aspect of his game. Even if he becomes a decent shooter by season's end, I have a hard time seeing too many teams who would want to overpay for a 4th year player with a 30th percentile impact
- Harper's doing well so far - it's pretty rare for rookies to get anywhere near positive EPM and he's third in the class so far behind Coward (+1.1) and Kon (+0.5). Rookies are usually a walking disaster impact wise (see: Carter Bryant, offensive EPM -4.0) so the fact that he's been neutral early in the season is a really encouraging sign
Under-the-radar dudes whose EPM doesn't match their name recognition:
Neemias Queta (+3.7!), Sam Merrill (+2.8), Mamu! (+2.6), Quinten Jackson (+2.3), Collin Gillespie (+2.2), Ryan Rollins (+1.9), Dru Smith (+1.9), Paul Reed (+1.6)
Your 5 worst players so far by impact so far: 5) Rob Dillingham 4) Nigel Hayes-Davis 3) Jarace Walker 2) Tyus Jones 1) Bub Carrington with honorable mention Cody Williams
EDIT:
Looking at some league wide numbers, does anyone know anything about Jamison Battle? He barely plays for Toronto but he seems like a sniper with decent size and his defense hasn't been atrocious. He's got all the markings of someone who can scale up his 3P volume with more playing time without giving up any size. Worth a flyer at some point?
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